KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 90.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 90.5%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$405
Open interest
$4.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from the Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.