Current implied probability
December 31, 2026 7%-1.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$163.8
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.5 pt
Moderate spreadComments
314
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 26, 25, 5:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Marine Le Pen wins the French election in 2027?
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FutuurWill Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for French election called by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, 2026 at 7% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does French election called by which date? resolve?
- French election called by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is French election called by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.