PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
March 31 16%-5.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
March 31 16%-5.5ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$32.3K
High liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
8
7d Change
+6.6 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 1:43 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
July 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
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PolymarketReform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
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PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent.
- An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally.
