Current implied probability
December 31 82%-0.1ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$559.7
Liquidity
$29K
High liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
335
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 9:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Romanian parliament dissolved by which date?
PolymarketWhich coalition will form the next Romanian government?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiWill Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.9pt8.9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.9M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223.1M
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $618.3K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.7pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.8pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $34.5M
- 24h Vol
- $546K
- Next French Presidential Election
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Romanian PM Bolojan out by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 82% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Romanian PM Bolojan out by which date? resolve?
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Romanian PM Bolojan out by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).