KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 39.9% 66.7%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$217.2K
Liquidity
$152.8K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 21, 26, 2:01 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
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KalshiRules
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Below 39.9% at 67% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.