Current implied probability
PSD + PNL + USR + AUR 21%+16.1ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$572
Liquidity
$161.8K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 11, 26, 8:48 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.
- A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR).
- All other parties will not be considered.
- Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition.
