Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
1.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElectionSports10mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
MP 34%-3.5ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$238K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
3
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 2:51 PM UTCAug 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L).
- All other parties will not be considered.