KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jeff Bezos 27%-7.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$16.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported.
- Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.4M
- 24h Vol
- $814.6K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $671.2K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $468.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-2.0pt19%
- October13%
- September 30,-0.8pt4%
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Jeff Bezos at 27% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? resolve?
- Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.