KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRon DeSantis 63%-5.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.7
Liquidity
$14.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Volodymyr Zelenskyy20%
Volume trend
$15Jul 622d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$1.7KJewish American security: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
$200Mask ban: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$99.4Yes: 40%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
$70Yes: 4.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$17.9Yes: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
$0Yes: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsRules
If Jeff Bezos has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported.
- Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Giorgia Meloni has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.