KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 7 · —
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Stored price
At least 10 57.5%Market line of 10 lines
At least 10 57.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$214.3
Open interest
$424.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 7Spread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 13, 26, 4:24 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 7
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?
KalshiWho will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiWill a Mar-a-Lago accord be announced by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago within a year of his death?
Manifold MarketsHow many days will Trump be photographed this week? (11/9-11/15)
KalshiRules
If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- How this is resolved Days from Nov 1 to Nov 30, 2026 on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago count, including those before these markets opened. Any part of a day at Mar-a-Lago counts, including arriving late in the evening or leaving in the morning. Days are Eastern Time calendar days. A day counts if a White House pool report or the White House press office reports Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago that day. A day also counts if those reports show Donald Trump spending the night before or after it in Palm Beach, unless he stays somewhere other than Mar-a-Lago. A day at another Trump property, including Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach, does NOT count unless Donald Trump is also at Mar-a-Lago that day. Markets may resolve as soon as the number of days that count reaches the strike.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 7
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 7 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 8 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 9 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 11
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 11 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 6 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 12 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 13
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 13 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump is at Mar-a-Lago is at least 14 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
