Current implied probability
April 17, 2027 21%
April 17, 2027 21%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$271.1
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
6
7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 1:39 PM UTCApr 17, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by which date?
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PolymarketWho will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
On July 7, 2026, Marine Le Pen announced she is running in the 2027 French presidential election and has named Jordan Bardella as her intended Prime Minister.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen publicly names someone other than Jordan Bardella as the person she would appoint or support as Prime Minister if elected President by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying endorsement must be a public statement naming a preferred Prime Minister other than Jordan Bardella if Le Pen is elected President.
- Withdrawing support from Bardella alone will not qualify unless Le Pen also names another person for Prime Minister.
