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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
Manifold Markets

Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope10mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Jordan Bardella 56.2%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters

18

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Stale
Jun 2, 26, 1:52 AMApr 30, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Jordan Bardella56%

Rules

2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia

Manifold Markets
  • If no one receives a majority (50%+1) in the first round, the 2 candidates with the most votes advance to the second round.
  • This market resolves to the top 2 candidates in the first round.
  • If someone gets a majority of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve yes to that candidate only.
  • Resolves based on the next French election, even if it is early, in 2026.

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Rules

2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia

Manifold Markets
  • If no one receives a majority (50%+1) in the first round, the 2 candidates with the most votes advance to the second round.
  • This market resolves to the top 2 candidates in the first round.
  • If someone gets a majority of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve yes to that candidate only.
  • Resolves based on the next French election, even if it is early, in 2026.