How old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Politics1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastOver 35 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 24, 12:24 AM UTCOct 19, 28, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Age will be determined by their age on election day, 2028.
- Any amount of time once they've reached the age will mean they've over that age; that is to say, someone does not have to turn 41 for the "the named outcome" option to resolve YES, so long as they have turned 40 by election day.
- This market will resolve once the nominee is chosen by the party at the National Convention.