Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
PoliticsOne-OffSpaceTechGeopoliticsMiddle EastEurope1d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 4:04 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Iran and Oman jointly announce, adopt, or sign a permanent framework for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- A temporary route, an agreement merely to continue talks, or a unilateral proposal does not count.
- Source: Associated Press.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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