Selected book midpoint
December · —
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Stored reference
December 4%Leader of 5 outcomes
December 4%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$89.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$46.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
DecemberSpread
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Comments
97
7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 3, 25, 7:35 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
December 31, 2025Lost
JulyLost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30,Lost
Before close: 0% ·
October 31, 2025Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
PolymarketWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Manifold MarketsMacron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.