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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Macron out by...?
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEurope19d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December
December 0%-0.1%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$22.6

Liquidity

$19K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.5%

Spread

150.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.3%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jan 3, 25, 7:35 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
December
December
0%
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%
October
October
0%

Selected outcome

December0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.