Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 5%-0.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$24.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
92
7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingJan 3, 25, 7:35 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
Politics
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- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Macron out by which date??
- Polymarket prices December at 5% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Macron out by which date? resolve?
- Macron out by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Macron out by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).