US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
3.0% (24h)RegulationCommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 28%+0.0%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$800.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 34.0%
Spread
61.9%
Wide spread7d Change
+6.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 26, 26, 9:52 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes28%
Also available on Kalshi
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
0.1%6mo
-0.1%15%
85%
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$6.2K
24h Vol$20.3
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
- Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases.
- Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
- Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases.
- Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.