US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

4.0% (24h)Regulation CommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Yes 22%-0.0%

Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

18.0% / 26.0%

Spread

44.4%

Wide spread

7d Change

-0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 26, 26, 9:52 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes22%

Stake (USDT)

Also available on Kalshi

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

1.4%6mo

Yes

-1.4%15%

No

85%

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.2K

24h Vol$19.4

KALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.

Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases.
Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

4.0% (24h)Regulation CommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Yes 22%-0.0%

Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

18.0% / 26.0%

Spread

44.4%

Wide spread

7d Change

-0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 26, 26, 9:52 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes22%

Stake (USDT)

Also available on Kalshi

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

1.4%6mo

Yes

-1.4%15%

No

85%

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.2K

24h Vol$19.4

KALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.

Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases.
Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

$156

Above $6.00: 14%

KALSHI

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

$77

Yes: 35%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

$67