Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 8, 24, 3:50 PM UTCNov 1, 28, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a US presidential candidate make an anti data center remark during their campaign for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
KalshiUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Some articles for context
- https://www.ft.com/content/ed602e09-6c40-4979-aff9-7453ee28406a
- https://thehill.com/policy/technology/4970068-us-regulator-rejects-bid-to-boost-nuclear-power-to-amazon-data-center/
- Under the current regulatory environment, there have been a number of obstacles to nuclear powered data centers, despite announced plans by multiple big tech companies to the effect.
- Will resolve YES only if the nuclear reactor is directly providing power.
- This can be fusion, mini, or some other variant.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028? resolve?
- Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2028.
- How is Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Some articles for context