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1 GW to 3 GW 33%Leader of 5 outcomes
1 GW to 3 GW 33%Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 16, 24, 5:51 PM UTCJan 16, 35, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?
- Reactors must be sending energy to the grid or an end user.
- I'll defer somewhat to self-descriptions or convention as to what counts as an SMR.
- Probably means <400 MW but I'll see what people are saying in the future.
- But must be modular/factory-assembled.
- Left bounds inclusive, right bounds exclusive.