Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 65.1%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleSep 26, 23, 6:44 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?
Manifold MarketsHow much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketRules
There is 2023-09-22 report of Microsoft hiring for such goal, but that doesn't mean it will happen.
- Resolves YES when it is powered.
- Report https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/microsoft-cloud-hiring-to-implement-global-small-modular-reactor-and-microreactor-strategy-to-power-data-centers/
- Related market https://manifold.markets/Noit/rolls-royce-smr-nuclear-power-by-20
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