Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?
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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 72.5%
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23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 23, 9:57 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Background: Back in September 2023 Microsoft had a job listing for a "Principal Program Manager, Nuclear Technology, who will be responsible for maturing and implementing a global Small Modular Reactor (SMR) and microreactor energy strategy", as noted by The Verge.
- In December 2023 The Wallstreet Journal published an article about it as well.
- Resolution: This resolves to yes iff, before January 1st 2030 Microsoft owns and operates at least one nuclear fission reactor that produces power for at least one of their data centers anywhere in the world.
- The data center does not need to be solely powered by the fission reactor.