Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by which date?
12.0 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 31%+12.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
December 31 31%+12.0ptMarket quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.4K
Liquidity
$53.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+13.2 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 3:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
- “No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
