PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 54%+1.0pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 1, 26, 7:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Bilytske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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+4 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 54% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? resolve?
- Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.