PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 20%+0.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$708
Liquidity
$37.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.5%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Dec 26, 25, 11:54 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Selected outcome
December 3120%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
- A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
- Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.