Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
One-OffPoliticsRussia / UkraineUS PoliticsGeopolitics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 94%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$15K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Dec 29, 25, 9:54 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$80Jul 219d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
- A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal.
- Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.