PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$16.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$25.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
18
7d Change
-2.4 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 20, 25, 11:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
- A qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces.
- This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size).
- Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.