Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 20, 26, 12:35 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, in any Levada Center poll published before the close date, the sum of respondents who "definitely" or "rather" support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" is no more than 50% of all respondents.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2026 if it does not resolve YES sooner.
- Clarifications
- As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.