Current implied probability
Giorgia Meloni 52.1%-0.5ptLeader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$139.7K
High liquiditySpread
2.5 pt
Moderate spreadComments
16
7d Change
+0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 21, 26, 7:37 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister? · Giorgia Meloni 42%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of Italy??
- Polymarket prices Giorgia Meloni at 52% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next Prime Minister of Italy? resolve?
- Next Prime Minister of Italy? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Next Prime Minister of Italy? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Next Prime Minister of Italy? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.