Current implied probability
Aleksandar Vučić 70%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$206
Low liquidityBid / Ask
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
8.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 8:25 PMDec 31, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aleksandar Vučić70%
Volume trend
$155Jul 93d of dataJul 12
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If Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Ana Brnabić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Miloš Vučević becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.