Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 7, 2026, 8:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
Ulf Kristersson 20%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleNov 20, 23, 9:36 PMOct 31, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ulf Kristersson20%
Compare venues· Magdalena Andersson
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall75% match · verified | Medium | 81% | — | $2.6K | $341.5K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 74% | — | — | — | 48 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
1mo
81%
17%
3%
+33 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.3M
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKETRules
After the next elections in 2026
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — Nohklcrypt12d ago
POLYMARKETWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — Nohklcrypt12d agoRelated Markets
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After the next elections in 2026