Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMagdalena Andersson (S) 80.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 7:11 AM UTCJan 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election??
- Manifold Markets prices Magdalena Andersson (S) at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? resolve?
- Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? is scheduled to resolve on January 30, 2027.
- How is Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Requires a successful investiture vote.