Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.7%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingApr 9, 26, 11:54 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRules
As anything about Trump is quite erratic, I do no specify the reason.
- So pick your own reason why you think he will be excommunicated or not.
