Current implied probability
December 31 39%+1.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 40.0%
Spread
8.1%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:45 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Selected outcome
December 3139%
Also available on Kalshi
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
2.0%6mo
-2.0%18%
0%
6%
+1 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$0.1
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.
- This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe.
- Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.
- This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe.
- Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.