Current implied probability
No 84%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$57.7
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 23, 26, 2:03 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greece by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Hellenic Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Hellenic Parliament within 30 days thereafter.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greece; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.