KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 5.6 million barrels/day · —
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Stored price
Above 5.8 million barrels/day 22.5%Market line of 4 lines
Above 5.8 million barrels/day 22.5%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$597.3
Open interest
$42.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 5.6 million barrels/daySpread
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Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 5.6 million barrels/day
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.8 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 5.6 million barrels/day
- If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.6 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.7 million barrels/day
- If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.7 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.8 million barrels/day
- If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.8 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.9 million barrels/day
- If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.9 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.