KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 5.7 million barrels/day 85%+1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.9
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?
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KalshiCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest price of crude oil in 2026? (Extended range)
Manifold MarketsRules
If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- 5.6 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic.
- Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000.
- EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.
- 5.7 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas crude oil production in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 5.7 million barrels/day at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Texas crude oil production in 2026 resolve?
- Texas crude oil production in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Texas crude oil production in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above