PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93.1%+0.5pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$10K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 6, 26, 11:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory.
- Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
- A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count).
- Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta??
- Polymarket prices No at 93% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? resolve?
- Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.