KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before 2027 9.7%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2027 9.7%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Open interest
$2.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 11:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
PolymarketWill Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill Trump try to have his face engraved on Mt Rushmore during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump try to bring under U.S. control?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2027
- If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.