KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
JPMorgan Chase 13%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39.9
Liquidity
$23.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 25, 25, 8:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Wall Street JournalAxiosPoliticoCNBCABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBC
- The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
- Joint book-running managers qualify.
- Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
- If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
- For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.
Open markets
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Total Vol
- $5.4M
- 24h Vol
- $5.4M
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $666.5K
- 24h Vol
- $660.9K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,800 or above99%
- $78,700 or above99%
- $68,600 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $698.8K
- 24h Vol
- $577.7K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Total Vol
- $534.5K
- 24h Vol
- $534.5K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Jpegenav
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC 15 min · $79,369.33 target
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027??
- Kalshi prices JPMorgan Chase at 13% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? resolve?
- Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.