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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

4.0% (24h)One-OffExchangeRegulationCorporate Actions6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley 46%+4.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$305.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

38.0% / 46.0%

Spread

21.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Aug 25, 25, 8:45 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Morgan Stanley46%

Rules

If Goldman Sachs serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
  • Joint book-running managers qualify.
  • Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
  • If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
  • For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.

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Rules

If Goldman Sachs serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
  • Joint book-running managers qualify.
  • Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
  • If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
  • For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.