KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jun 1, 2027 26%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$43.9K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 30, 25, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Anduril's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWhen will Anduril Industries IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
KalshiRules
If Anduril confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.6%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.6%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.6%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $122.2K
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $49.1K
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Anduril officially announce an IPO??
- Kalshi prices Before Jun 1, 2027 at 26% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? resolve?
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Anduril confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.