Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastQ2 2027 24.4%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
May 29, 25, 11:56 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 12:55 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the option corresponding to the quarter and year in which Anduril Industries completes its initial public offering (IPO).
- If Anduril does not complete an IPO by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." If Anduril announces that it will not pursue an IPO, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." Resolution will be based on official company announcements and reputable financial news sources.
- Anduril Industries, founded in 2017 by Palmer Luckey and others, is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous systems and artificial intelligence for military applications.
- The company has experienced rapid growth, securing significant government contracts and expanding its product portfolio.
- As of early 2025, Anduril has raised substantial private funding, including a $1.5 billion Series F round in August 2024, valuing the company at $14 billion, and is reportedly in talks for an additional $2.5 billion funding round at a $28 billion valuation.
