KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Inheritance Tax Rise · —
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Stored price
Inheritance Tax Rise 26.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Inheritance Tax Rise 26.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$101
Open interest
$2.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Inheritance Tax RiseSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Inheritance Tax Rise
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. No market resolves on whether a measure is called a "wealth tax." Each market names one specific measure and resolves only on that measure, whatever it is named. A measure set out in the Chancellor's Budget statement or in the Budget documents published by HM Treasury qualifies, and it need not be legislated or in force before Dec 1, 2026. Measures announced by the Scottish or Welsh governments or the Northern Ireland Executive do NOT count. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Retraction of previously announced commitments Each market resolves on any announcement meeting its description, with no minimum size: Capital Gains Tax Rise: an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax, even if another main rate is reduced Mansion Tax Increase: an increase in the charges of the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, or a reduction in its entry threshold Inheritance Tax Rise: an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of a relief or exemption Annual Wealth Tax: a new annual tax on total net wealth above a threshold. A one-off levy or a tax on a single asset class does NOT qualify Council Tax Replacement: replacing council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax
Rules for each outcome
- Inheritance Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mansion Tax Increase
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Council Tax Replacement
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the replacement of council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Annual Wealth Tax
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces a new annual tax charged on the total net wealth of individuals above a threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Capital Gains Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.