KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2027 60%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 60%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$10.3K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 4:15 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Before Jul 1, 202760%
Before Jan 1, 202732%
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Eastern District of North Carolina
- A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (nolle prosequi) Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insufficient evidence Dismissal following successful motion to dismiss The following do NOT constitute dismissals: Settlement agreements between parties Plea bargains or guilty pleas in criminal cases Default judgments Summary judgments on the merits Trial verdicts (guilty, not guilty, liable, not liable) Consent decrees or agreed orders Cases transferred to different courts Cases stayed or continued indefinitely Bankruptcy discharge (which is a substantive resolution) Cases resolved through alternative dispute resolution Appeals or remands (unless the appellate court dismisses the case entirely) Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions Administrative closure If only some claims, counts, or defendants are dismissed while the case continues on other matters, this does NOT constitute a dismissal for purposes of this contract. The entire case must be dismissed.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%