Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.3%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 24, 25, 9:15 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:13 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, before market close, a U.S. federal district court enters a signed judgment of conviction against James B. Comey (born 1960) for any federal criminal offense (felony or misdemeanor), whether by guilty plea (including nolo contendere) or by guilty verdict.
- Acceptable evidence: (a) the judgment on the federal docket (PACER) or a mirror via CourtListener/RECAP; or (b) a DOJ press release that explicitly states he was convicted and identifies the case.
- Rule 32(k) defines “judgment of conviction.” (pacer.uscourts.gov)
- Resolves NO if no such federal conviction is entered by market close.
- Indictments, informations, complaints, arrests, congressional referrals, civil matters, and any state or local convictions do not count.