Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffPoliticsEuropeCrime & Justice3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31, 12%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
16
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 8:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketWill the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold Markets¿Conseguirá José Luis Ricon un loro en 2035?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.