Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
1.5% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffPoliticsEuropeCrime & Justice5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31, 14%-1.5%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
45.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.5%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 8:45 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 31,14%
Volume trend
$10Jul 514d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$964.2Yes: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
$26.1Yes: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Macron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
$1.8Macron: 68.7%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
Will at least 10 UK riot related prosecutions be overturned or have their sentences shortened in the next 2 years?
$0Yes: 24%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
$0Yes: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIf asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
$383.4Yes: 22.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
California duo accused of laundering crypto from fentanyl and meth salesCrypto News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
LayerZero Executor Wallets Undergo Security Breach, $2.4 Million DrainedBlockchain Reporter
California pair charged with laundering crypto proceeds from darknet fentanyl salesThe Block
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
EU Sanctions 'Stern,' Trickbot Ransomware Leader Tied to $300MBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.