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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEuropeCrime & Justice18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$232

Liquidity

$19.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 10.0%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 8:49 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.