Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffPoliticsEuropeCrime & Justice2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31, · —
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Stored reference
December 31, 5%
December 31, 5%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31,Spread
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Comments
15
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 8:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
June 30,Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · December 31,
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.