What are the current odds for Will José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of October 26, 2026.

Will José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

One-OffAwards14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 90%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Jan 1, 24, 1:33 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.