FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$221.8
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market concerns whether Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor is sentenced to any term of jail or prison between February 26, 2026, 00:00:00 UTC and December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC (the “Market Period”).
- A qualifying outcome requires a formal criminal court sentence imposing custodial incarceration, regardless of duration.
- Suspended sentences, fines, probation, or non‑custodial penalties do not qualify.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the official sentencing record issued by the competent criminal court or relevant government authority.
- Resolution refers to the first official custodial sentence imposed during the Market Period.
- If, during the Market Period, a criminal court formally sentences Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor to any term of incarceration, this market will resolve to “Yes”.