Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?
1.5 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsTechRegulation9mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 66%
Yes 66%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$137.2
Liquidity
$491.9
Low liquidityOpen interest
$376.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 8:23 PM UTCAug 2, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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- 1 percentage points
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Manifold MarketsWill the Epic Games Store still exist in 10 years time?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v.
- Epic Games, Inc. (No. 25-1311), issues a decision on the merits that reverses or vacates, in whole or in part, the Ninth Circuit’s judgment under review (its affirmance of the district court’s 2025 contempt ruling against Apple and the accompanying modifications to the injunction on App Store anti-steering rules and developer fees), by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only a decision on the merits of this case (a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion) will qualify.
- Emergency orders, stays, and other interim orders will not qualify.
- A decision that vacates the Ninth Circuit’s judgment and remands for further proceedings will resolve this market to “Yes”.
