Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by which date?
6.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 26%-6.5ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5
Liquidity
$96.4
Low liquiditySpread
28.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
37
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 7:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process.
- If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify.
- An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
