Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
3.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%-3.5pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$392.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 21.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 1:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court.
- Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count.
- A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election.
- Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count.