KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$33.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 25, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketWill any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
Manifold MarketsWill a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
KalshiRules
If any court rules that the 2024 US federal election was fraudulent before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent??
- Kalshi prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? resolve?
- Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any court rules that the 2024 US federal election was fraudulent before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.