Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 73.1%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 25, 12:46 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling that explicitly limits or overturns the application of the "disparate impact" doctrine in any area of law.
- The ruling must be final and not subject to further appeal.
- If no such ruling is issued by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- The "disparate impact" doctrine addresses policies that, while neutral on their face, disproportionately affect individuals belonging to protected classes, such as race, color, national origin, religion, sex, familial status, or disability.
- This legal theory has been recognized in various contexts, including employment and housing discrimination.