Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027?
US PoliticsOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.4%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 25, 4:27 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
On December 9, the Trump administration Department of Justice announced that it will no longer consider disparate impact to be a violation of Title VI of the Civil Rights of 1964.
- This market asks whether, by the end of 2026, SCOTUS will hear a case challenging this decision.
- I am not a lawyer, nor do I claim any particular knowledge on this subject.
- Corrections and clarifications from those with more expertise are welcome in the comments, and I'll do my best to incorporate any insights in ways that remain fair to existing position holders in this market.
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027? resolve?
- Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: On December 9, the Trump administration Department of Justice announced that it will no longer consider disparate impact to be a violation of Title VI of the Civil Rights of 1964.